Results from diagnostic accuracy studies examining the accuracy of venous ultrasonography for the diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis.

dat.kearon1998

Format

The data frame contains the following columns:

idnumericstudy id
authorcharacterstudy author(s)
yearnumericpublication year
patientscharacterpatient group (either symptomatic or asymptomatic patients)
tpnumericnumber of true positives
npnumericnumber of positive patients (cases)
tnnumericnumber of true negatives
nnnumericnumber of negative patients (non-cases)

Details

The studies included in the dataset examined the accuracy of venous ultrasonography for the diagnossis of a first deep venous thrombosis in symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. Cases and non-cases were determined based on contrast venography. Venous ultrasonography was then used to make a diagnosis, leading to a given number of true positives and negatives.

A subset of this dataset (using only the studies with asymptomatic patients) was used by Deeks et al. (2005) to illustrate methods for detecting publication bias (or small-study effects) in meta-analyses of diagnostic accuracy studies.

Source

Kearon, C., Julian, J. A., Math, M., Newman, T. E., & Ginsberg, J. S. (1998). Noninvasive diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis. Annals of Internal Medicine, 128(8), 663–677. https://doi.org/10.7326/0003-4819-128-8-199804150-00011

References

Deeks, J. J., Macaskill, P., & Irwig, L. (2005). The performance of tests of publication bias and other sample size effects in systematic reviews of diagnostic test accuracy was assessed. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 58(9), 882–893. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2005.01.016

Concepts

medicine, odds ratios, diagnostic accuracy studies, multivariate models, publication bias

Examples

### copy data into 'dat' and examine data
dat <- dat.kearon1998
head(dat)
#>   id           study year    patients  tp  np  tn  nn
#> 1  1    Elias et al. 1987 symptomatic 325 333 483 505
#> 2  2 Appleman et al. 1987 symptomatic  NA  NA  47  49
#> 3  3    Vogel et al. 1987 symptomatic  20  25  29  29
#> 4  4   Cronan et al. 1987 symptomatic  25  28  23  23
#> 5  5  O'Leary et al. 1988 symptomatic  22  25  24  25
#> 6  6  Lensing et al. 1989 symptomatic  70  77 142 143

### load metafor package
library(metafor)

### calculate diagnostic log odds ratios and corresponding sampling variances
dat <- escalc(measure="OR", ai=tp, n1i=np, ci=nn-tn, n2i=nn, data=dat, add=1/2, to="all")
head(dat)
#> 
#>   id           study year    patients  tp  np  tn  nn     yi     vi 
#> 1  1    Elias et al. 1987 symptomatic 325 333 483 505 6.7128 0.1672 
#> 2  2 Appleman et al. 1987 symptomatic  NA  NA  47  49     NA     NA 
#> 3  3    Vogel et al. 1987 symptomatic  20  25  29  29 5.3932 2.2645 
#> 4  4   Cronan et al. 1987 symptomatic  25  28  23  23 5.8361 2.3675 
#> 5  5  O'Leary et al. 1988 symptomatic  22  25  24  25 4.6540 1.0376 
#> 6  6  Lensing et al. 1989 symptomatic  70  77 142 143 6.7946 0.8212 
#> 

### fit random-effects model for the symptomatic patients
res <- rma(yi, vi, data=dat, subset=patients=="symptomatic")
#> Warning: 2 studies with NAs omitted from model fitting.
res
#> 
#> Random-Effects Model (k = 16; tau^2 estimator: REML)
#> 
#> tau^2 (estimated amount of total heterogeneity): 1.2663 (SE = 0.7846)
#> tau (square root of estimated tau^2 value):      1.1253
#> I^2 (total heterogeneity / total variability):   66.20%
#> H^2 (total variability / sampling variability):  2.96
#> 
#> Test for Heterogeneity:
#> Q(df = 15) = 48.8101, p-val < .0001
#> 
#> Model Results:
#> 
#> estimate      se     zval    pval   ci.lb   ci.ub      
#>   5.1733  0.3747  13.8057  <.0001  4.4388  5.9077  *** 
#> 
#> ---
#> Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
#> 

### fit random-effects model for the asymptomatic patients
res <- rma(yi, vi, data=dat, subset=patients=="asymptomatic")
#> Warning: 2 studies with NAs omitted from model fitting.
res
#> 
#> Random-Effects Model (k = 14; tau^2 estimator: REML)
#> 
#> tau^2 (estimated amount of total heterogeneity): 0.4534 (SE = 0.3776)
#> tau (square root of estimated tau^2 value):      0.6734
#> I^2 (total heterogeneity / total variability):   48.58%
#> H^2 (total variability / sampling variability):  1.94
#> 
#> Test for Heterogeneity:
#> Q(df = 13) = 28.3304, p-val = 0.0081
#> 
#> Model Results:
#> 
#> estimate      se     zval    pval   ci.lb   ci.ub      
#>   3.0039  0.2682  11.2017  <.0001  2.4783  3.5295  *** 
#> 
#> ---
#> Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
#> 

### estimated average diagnostic odds ratio (with 95% CI)
predict(res, transf=exp, digits=2)
#> 
#>   pred ci.lb ci.ub pi.lb pi.ub 
#>  20.16 11.92 34.11  4.87 83.47 
#> 

### regression test for funnel plot asymmetry using SE as predictor
reg <- regtest(res, model="lm")
reg
#> 
#> Regression Test for Funnel Plot Asymmetry
#> 
#> Model:     weighted regression with multiplicative dispersion
#> Predictor: standard error
#> 
#> Test for Funnel Plot Asymmetry: t = 2.7886, df = 12, p = 0.0164
#> Limit Estimate (as sei -> 0):   b = 0.9192 (CI: -0.6698, 2.5082)
#> 

### corresponding funnel plot
funnel(res, atransf=exp, xlim=c(0,7), at=log(c(1,10,100,1000)), ylim=c(0,1.5), steps=4)
ys <- seq(0, 2, length=100)
lines(coef(reg$fit)[1] + coef(reg$fit)[2]*ys, ys, lwd=2, lty=3)


### regression test for funnel plot asymmetry using total sample size as predictor
reg <- regtest(res, model="lm", predictor="ni")
reg
#> 
#> Regression Test for Funnel Plot Asymmetry
#> 
#> Model:     weighted regression with multiplicative dispersion
#> Predictor: sample size
#> 
#> Test for Funnel Plot Asymmetry: t = 1.8919, df = 12, p = 0.0829
#> 

### corresponding funnel plot
funnel(res, yaxis="ni", atransf=exp, xlim=c(0,7), at=log(c(1,10,100,1000)), ylim=c(0,300), steps=4)
ys <- seq(0, 300, length=100)
lines(coef(reg$fit)[1] + coef(reg$fit)[2]*ys, ys, lwd=2, lty=3)


### regression test for funnel plot asymmetry using 1/sqrt(ESS) as predictor (Deeks et al., 2005)
dat$invessi <- 1/(4*dat$np) + 1/(4*dat$nn)
tmp <- rma(yi, invessi, data=dat, subset=patients=="asymptomatic")
#> Warning: 2 studies with NAs omitted from model fitting.
reg <- regtest(tmp, model="lm")
reg
#> 
#> Regression Test for Funnel Plot Asymmetry
#> 
#> Model:     weighted regression with multiplicative dispersion
#> Predictor: standard error
#> 
#> Test for Funnel Plot Asymmetry: t = -0.1182, df = 12, p = 0.9079
#> Limit Estimate (as sei -> 0):   b =  3.6227 (CI: -0.8066, 8.0520)
#> 

### corresponding funnel plot
funnel(tmp, atransf=exp, xlim=c(0,7), at=log(c(1,10,100,1000)), ylim=c(0,.15), steps=4,
       refline=coef(res), level=0, ylab="1/root(ess)")
ys <- seq(0, .20, length=100)
lines(coef(reg$fit)[1] + coef(reg$fit)[2]*ys, ys, lwd=2, lty=3)


### convert data to long format
dat <- to.long(measure="OR", ai=tp, n1i=np, ci=tn, n2i=nn,
               data=dat.kearon1998, subset=patients=="asymptomatic")
#> Warning: 2 tables with NAs omitted.
dat <- dat[9:12]
dat$group <- factor(dat$group, levels=c(1,2), labels=c("sensitivity", "specificity"))
dat
#>    study       group out1 out2
#> 1     19 sensitivity   10   15
#> 2     19 specificity   47    6
#> 3     20 sensitivity   15    9
#> 4     20 specificity   29    3
#> 5     21 sensitivity   10    4
#> 6     21 specificity   44    3
#> 7     22 sensitivity   13   10
#> 8     22 specificity  123    0
#> 9     23 sensitivity   10   22
#> 10    23 specificity   55    1
#> 11    24 sensitivity   16   45
#> 12    24 specificity  184    2
#> 13    25 sensitivity   12   37
#> 14    25 specificity  137    1
#> 15    26 sensitivity   13   13
#> 16    26 specificity   66    8
#> 17    28 sensitivity   24   18
#> 18    28 specificity   55    2
#> 19    29 sensitivity   17   10
#> 20    29 specificity   85    6
#> 21    30 sensitivity    5   17
#> 22    30 specificity   45    1
#> 23    31 sensitivity   18   13
#> 24    31 specificity  240    5
#> 25    32 sensitivity   24    4
#> 26    32 specificity  104    0
#> 27    33 sensitivity   26   29
#> 28    33 specificity   81    8

### calculate logit-transformed sensitivities
dat <- escalc(measure="PLO", xi=out1, mi=out2, data=dat, add=1/2, to="all",
              include=group=="sensitivity")
dat
#> 
#>    study       group out1 out2      yi     vi 
#> 1     19 sensitivity   10   15 -0.3895 0.1598 
#> 2     19 specificity   47    6      NA     NA 
#> 3     20 sensitivity   15    9  0.4895 0.1698 
#> 4     20 specificity   29    3      NA     NA 
#> 5     21 sensitivity   10    4  0.8473 0.3175 
#> 6     21 specificity   44    3      NA     NA 
#> 7     22 sensitivity   13   10  0.2513 0.1693 
#> 8     22 specificity  123    0      NA     NA 
#> 9     23 sensitivity   10   22 -0.7621 0.1397 
#> 10    23 specificity   55    1      NA     NA 
#> 11    24 sensitivity   16   45 -1.0144 0.0826 
#> 12    24 specificity  184    2      NA     NA 
#> 13    25 sensitivity   12   37 -1.0986 0.1067 
#> 14    25 specificity  137    1      NA     NA 
#> 15    26 sensitivity   13   13  0.0000 0.1481 
#> 16    26 specificity   66    8      NA     NA 
#> 17    28 sensitivity   24   18  0.2809 0.0949 
#> 18    28 specificity   55    2      NA     NA 
#> 19    29 sensitivity   17   10  0.5108 0.1524 
#> 20    29 specificity   85    6      NA     NA 
#> 21    30 sensitivity    5   17 -1.1575 0.2390 
#> 22    30 specificity   45    1      NA     NA 
#> 23    31 sensitivity   18   13  0.3151 0.1281 
#> 24    31 specificity  240    5      NA     NA 
#> 25    32 sensitivity   24    4  1.6946 0.2630 
#> 26    32 specificity  104    0      NA     NA 
#> 27    33 sensitivity   26   29 -0.1072 0.0716 
#> 28    33 specificity   81    8      NA     NA 
#> 

### calculate logit-transformed specificities
dat <- escalc(measure="PLO", xi=out1, mi=out2, data=dat, add=1/2, to="all",
              include=group=="specificity")
dat
#> 
#>    study       group out1 out2      yi     vi 
#> 1     19 sensitivity   10   15 -0.3895 0.1598 
#> 2     19 specificity   47    6  1.9889 0.1749 
#> 3     20 sensitivity   15    9  0.4895 0.1698 
#> 4     20 specificity   29    3  2.1316 0.3196 
#> 5     21 sensitivity   10    4  0.8473 0.3175 
#> 6     21 specificity   44    3  2.5427 0.3082 
#> 7     22 sensitivity   13   10  0.2513 0.1693 
#> 8     22 specificity  123    0  5.5094 2.0081 
#> 9     23 sensitivity   10   22 -0.7621 0.1397 
#> 10    23 specificity   55    1  3.6109 0.6847 
#> 11    24 sensitivity   16   45 -1.0144 0.0826 
#> 12    24 specificity  184    2  4.3014 0.4054 
#> 13    25 sensitivity   12   37 -1.0986 0.1067 
#> 14    25 specificity  137    1  4.5182 0.6739 
#> 15    26 sensitivity   13   13  0.0000 0.1481 
#> 16    26 specificity   66    8  2.0571 0.1327 
#> 17    28 sensitivity   24   18  0.2809 0.0949 
#> 18    28 specificity   55    2  3.1001 0.4180 
#> 19    29 sensitivity   17   10  0.5108 0.1524 
#> 20    29 specificity   85    6  2.5767 0.1655 
#> 21    30 sensitivity    5   17 -1.1575 0.2390 
#> 22    30 specificity   45    1  3.4122 0.6886 
#> 23    31 sensitivity   18   13  0.3151 0.1281 
#> 24    31 specificity  240    5  3.7780 0.1860 
#> 25    32 sensitivity   24    4  1.6946 0.2630 
#> 26    32 specificity  104    0  5.3423 2.0096 
#> 27    33 sensitivity   26   29 -0.1072 0.0716 
#> 28    33 specificity   81    8  2.2605 0.1299 
#> 

### bivariate random-effects model for logit sensitivity and specificity
res <- rma.mv(yi, vi, mods = ~ group - 1, random = ~ group | study, struct="UN", data=dat)
res
#> 
#> Multivariate Meta-Analysis Model (k = 28; method: REML)
#> 
#> Variance Components:
#> 
#> outer factor: study (nlvls = 14)
#> inner factor: group (nlvls = 2)
#> 
#>             estim    sqrt  k.lvl  fixed        level 
#> tau^2.1    0.4231  0.6505     14     no  sensitivity 
#> tau^2.2    0.5408  0.7354     14     no  specificity 
#> 
#>              rho.snst  rho.spcf    snst  spcf 
#> sensitivity         1                 -    14 
#> specificity   -0.4547         1      no     - 
#> 
#> Test for Residual Heterogeneity:
#> QE(df = 26) = 86.5672, p-val < .0001
#> 
#> Test of Moderators (coefficients 1:2):
#> QM(df = 2) = 147.4665, p-val < .0001
#> 
#> Model Results:
#> 
#>                   estimate      se     zval    pval    ci.lb   ci.ub      
#> groupsensitivity   -0.0498  0.2027  -0.2457  0.8059  -0.4472  0.3475      
#> groupspecificity    3.0092  0.2582  11.6531  <.0001   2.5031  3.5154  *** 
#> 
#> ---
#> Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
#> 

### estimated average sensitivity and specificity based on the model
predict(res, newmods = rbind(c(1,0),c(0,1)), transf=transf.ilogit, tau2.levels=c(1,2), digits=2)
#> 
#>   pred ci.lb ci.ub pi.lb pi.ub  tau2.level 
#> 1 0.49  0.39  0.59  0.20  0.78 sensitivity 
#> 2 0.95  0.92  0.97  0.81  0.99 specificity 
#> 

### estimated average diagnostic odds ratio based on the model
predict(res, newmods = c(1,1), transf=exp, digits=2)
#> 
#>   pred ci.lb ci.ub pi.lb pi.ub tau2.level 
#>  19.29 11.22 33.14    NA    NA         NA 
#>